Amit Kukreja
Palantir $200M CONTRACT, Oracle Financing $40B OF Data Centers, Tesla Earnings | Daily Recap
10/24/2025, 1:34:06 AM
Economic Summary
- Oracle completed a $38 billion debt offering to finance two large data centers (Texas and Wisconsin) to power OpenAI; banks including JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Goldman participated, underscoring strong lender confidence but adding significant corporate leverage (ORCL).
- Earnings season has been strong: of ~60 S&P 500 companies reported so far, ~85% beat EPS by an average of 8%, with notable beats from Intel (massive EPS beat), Ford (beat revenue by ~$3B), Digital Realty and others, implying underlying revenue resilience and margin improvements (INTC, F, DLR).
- The market is seeing increased share buybacks as blackout periods end; buybacks rose ~16% YoY to a record ~$1.15 trillion, which could provide support for equities heading into Q4 and potentially amplify any earnings-driven rallies.
- Palantir announced a multi-year, roughly $200 million partnership with Lumen to jointly deliver services to government and commercial clients; this deal highlights Palantir's downstream value-capture model and potential near-term revenue upside (PLTR).
Bullish
- Massive OpenAI-driven data center buildout boosts chipmakers and infra providers.
- Earnings season showing broad beats, suggesting resilient consumer and corporate fundamentals.
- Palantir-Lumen partnership validates Palantir's commercial value and revenue potential.
Bearish
- Oracle's $38B debt raises leverage risk if AI initiatives don't generate sufficient ROI.
- Tesla faces demand and earnings growth risk; expensive valuation may not be justified.
- Data-center smaller names remain risky if anticipated contracts and revenue fail to materialize.
Bullish tickers
AMDNVDAAVGOPLTRDLRFINTC
Bearish tickers
ORCLTSLA
ORCL
Bullish
Financing signals aggressive investment in AI/data centers to power OpenAI workloads.
Bearish
Large $38B debt issuance increases leverage; risk if AI ROI falls short.
AMD
Bullish
Beneficiary of OpenAI-related data-center demand and rising chip needs.
Bearish
Exposure to data-center demand cyclicality if AI spend cools.
NVDA
Bullish
Core beneficiary of AI/data-center buildouts; strong demand narrative.
Bearish
High expectations priced in; vulnerable if AI growth slows.
AVGO
Bullish
Broadcom benefits from data-center and AI infrastructure demand.
Bearish
Depends on continued hyperscaler spending; valuation risk if slows.
TSLA
Bullish
Long-term upside tied to unsupervised FSD and Optimus robotics breakthroughs.
Bearish
Valuation pressured by potential negative earnings growth and vehicle demand uncertainty.
INTC
Bullish
Reported a surprisingly large EPS beat, suggesting potential margin recovery.
Bearish
Must sustain operational improvements to justify renewed optimism.
F
Bullish
Beat revenue and EPS estimates, signaling resilient consumer demand.
Bearish
Auto sales remain sensitive to consumer health and rates.
PLTR
1 price targets
200
Bullish
Multi-year $200M Lumen partnership and potential 50%+ earnings growth narrative support upside.
Bearish
High multiple; underperformance versus street expectations could trigger pullback.
LUMN
Bullish
Signed a multi-year partnership with Palantir, potentially driving recurring revenue.
Bearish
Execution risk delivering joint solutions at scale with Palantir.
DLR
Bullish
Beat earnings materially, reflecting strong underlying data-center fundamentals.
Bearish
Data-center REITs face valuation pressure if lease demand disappoints.
NEM
Bullish
Reported solid earnings beat, indicating commodity/operational strength.
DECK
Bullish
Consumer brand beat earnings, showing resilience in discretionary spending.
People mentioned
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