Amit Kukreja
Palantir Gets a MASSIVE New Deal, Tesla Gets Upgraded, China Deal May Be Coming Soon | Daily Recap
10/28/2025, 1:50:33 AM
Economic Summary
- S&P 500 hit all-time highs, with a broad green day supported by optimism around earnings, potential Fed cuts, and easing China tensions.
- US-China trade discussions signaled progress on rare earths and export controls, reducing near-term upside for domestic rare-earth miners (MP, USAR).
- Investor sentiment has shifted as meme-stock froth briefly returned (meme ETF ASST), but recent drawdowns forced reassessment of fundamentals.
- Analysts expect November historically strong (avg ~4.5%); earnings beats plus potential rate cuts could further propel the market into year-end.
Bullish
- Palantir winning large government and international contracts (Poland, UK, US) boosting growth.
- Tesla autonomy/RoboTaxi and FSD progress could unlock massive long-term value.
- NVIDIA and other AI leaders continue to drive earnings and market momentum.
- Robinhood beating EBITDA/EPS estimates could justify its premium valuation.
- Macro setup (potential Fed cuts, earnings growth, easing China tensions) supports the bull market.
Bearish
- Palantir valuation is aggressive and the stock could fall despite revenue growth.
- Rare-earth miners (MP, USAR) declined as China tensions eased, weakening demand thesis.
- Return of meme-stock ETF (ASST) signals froth and market risk.
- Tesla currently showing weak/negative near-term earnings growth; unclear immediate catalysts.
- Robinhood trading at a premium; vulnerable if it fails to consistently beat expectations.
Bullish tickers
PLTRTSLANVDAHOODGRAB
Bearish tickers
MPUSARASSTHOOD
PLTR
1 price targets
200
Bullish
Large and expanding government and international contracts (Poland, UK, US), sticky revenue, potential >50% growth and margin expansion.
Bearish
Valuation appears aggressive and market cap elevated; stock could decline despite growth.
TSLA
1 price targets
510
Bullish
Autonomy/RoboTaxi, FSD, energy storage and robotics offer large upside if execution scales.
Bearish
Near-term earnings weak and declining; unclear immediate earnings catalysts outside long-term bets.
HOOD
1 price targets
161
Bullish
Analyst upgrades citing better-than-street EBITDA/EPS could validate a higher valuation.
Bearish
Trades at a premium and could be meme-driven; needs consistent earnings to justify multiple.
NVDA
Bullish
Leader in AI-related hardware and capex-driven demand supporting sustained earnings momentum.
Bearish
If growth disappoints, its rich multiple could compress.
GOOGL
Bullish
Hit all-time highs and remains a core, revenue-generating tech franchise.
Bearish
Some retail-driven buying; skepticism around future revenue promises persists.
MP
Bearish
Rare-earth exposure hit as China tensions eased, reducing near-term demand expectations.
USAR
Bearish
Domestic rare-earth producers face headwinds if export controls and China tensions soften.
GRAB
1 price targets
10
Bullish
Analyst optimism that it can break out to $10 with execution.
Bearish
Must deliver earnings growth to merit higher multiples.
LUMN
Bullish
Partnerships with companies like Palantir broaden go-to-market and government opportunities.
ASST
Bearish
Meme-stock ETF resurgence signals speculative froth and market risk.
AMZN
Bullish
Part of the broader AI and cloud capex narrative supporting tech earnings.
People mentioned
Alex KarpScott BessentDonald TrumpXi JinpingAdam JonasElon Musk