Amit Kukreja
TESLA REPORTS Q3 2025 EARNINGS | ELON MUSK SPEAKS
10/22/2025, 11:32:08 PM
Economic Summary
- A Reuters report that the U.S. may restrict exports to China of goods made with U.S. software triggered market weakness, adding to October volatility and pressuring momentum stocks.
- President Trump’s tweets about tariffs (e.g., 50% on Brazilian cattle) and announced increases in Russia sanctions amplified market risk sentiment, lifting oil prices and pressuring crypto.
- Sanctions on major Russian oil firms pushed oil roughly +3.5% after hours, which can lift energy stocks while tightening broader risk asset performance.
- Earnings season is exposing fragility in momentum names: some companies missed or delivered guidance that left stocks punished despite occasional earnings beats (example: healthcare names and niche momentum stocks).
- Data-center and AI infrastructure demand remains a supportive tailwind: OpenAI/Oracle/Vantage Stargate project and Megapack interest point to growing power/storage needs for hyperscalers (benefitting companies like ORCL partners and Tesla energy).
- Market positioning shifted toward value and high-quality; momentum factor experienced an intermittent breakdown as MAG7 and other large-tech guidance and CapEx narratives drive sentiment.
Bullish
- Strong AI/data-center demand benefits NVIDIA and related suppliers.
- Tesla’s FSD/Robotaxi and Megapack growth could unlock large recurring revenue streams.
- QuantumScape partnerships signal technical progress for next-gen batteries.
- IBM beat and raised guidance, showing durable enterprise demand for AI services.
Bearish
- Aggressive U.S. export-control rumors to China sparked risk-off selling and momentum unwind.
- High-valuation momentum names face steep drawdowns if earnings don’t justify prices.
- Russia sanctions pushed oil and crypto volatility higher, pressuring risk assets.
- Tesla valuation depends on future FSD/Optimus execution, with near-term margin and legal risks.
Bullish tickers
NVDAPLTRSOFIQSIBMORCL
Bearish tickers
TSLABYNDBTCUNHCNCMSTR
TSLA
Bullish
Leadership narrative in real-world AI, Robotaxi rollouts, Optimus roadmap, Megapack energy growth, record free cash flow and raised guidance.
Bearish
Missed operating income/EPS nuances, tariff and legal costs, and valuation heavily depends on successful FSD/Optimus commercialization.
NVDA
Bullish
Direct beneficiary of AI/data-center demand; discussed as core infrastructure for large models and inference workloads.
PLTR
Bullish
Small buy noted by host; investor interest in data/AI positioning.
SOFI
Bullish
Host completed a 500-share purchase, signaling conviction at recent price levels.
BYND
Bearish
Extreme intraday volatility and momentum-driven swings hurt long-term holders.
IBM
Bullish
Revenue and free cash flow beat; guidance raised and bookings growth remains healthy, indicating durable enterprise demand.
Bearish
Red Hat revenue slightly below expectations, causing some concern about near-term software growth.
QS
Bullish
Post-earnings pop and Volkswagen partnerships suggest progress in solid-state battery development.
Bearish
No revenue and continued losses make valuation speculative despite partnerships.
UNH
Bearish
Stock pressured by sector weakness after a peer (Melina Healthcare) reported a weak guide; sensitivity to healthcare cost trends.
CNC
Bearish
Hit hard amid healthcare earnings and guidance misses in the sector.
ORCL
Bullish
Partnering on OpenAI/Stargate data center projects, exposing Oracle to large AI-driven infrastructure demand.
MSTR
Bearish
High correlation to Bitcoin; crypto weakness directly pressures shares.
BTC
Bullish
Some analysts remain bullish (e.g., Tom Lee’s year-end target), highlighting persistent optimism among certain investors.
Bearish
Took hits on geopolitical headlines (Russia sanctions); intraday price weakness risk persists.
People mentioned
Elon MuskVaibhav TanejaArvind KrishnaDonald TrumpTom LeeJoseAshokLiz ThomasIraKathleenJoeFarzadSteveAmitJeremyBasantMarkColinEmmanuelAdamDanWalt