Buy Hold Rant
Concentrated Portfolios Explained — Maximize Returns Without Over-Diversifying
10/30/2025, 7:23:35 PM
Economic Summary
- Rebalancing approach is discretionary rather than formulaic: the speaker trims positions when they appear overvalued or exceed expected prices, reducing exposure rather than dollar-cost averaging into momentum names (mentions HOOD and RKLB as trimmed examples).
- Concentration strategy depends on personal cashflow: if the speaker had outside income they'd concentrate in two or three high-conviction names; currently they hold six or seven positions because investments are their primary net worth source.
- Portfolio risk management: individual positions reaching roughly 30% of the portfolio create nervousness and trigger trimming to lower single-stock risk (observed with Robinhood and Rocket Lab).
Bullish
- Accumulating Rivian (RIVN) for long-term growth.
- Maintains long-term conviction in Robinhood (HOOD) and Rocket Lab (RKLB) despite trimming.
- Prefers concentrated bets when not reliant on investment income.
Bearish
- Trim positions when a stock becomes overvalued or exceeds expected price.
- Single-stock concentration risk when a holding rises above ~30% of portfolio.
- Avoid adding to names that have already run up in price to limit downside.
Bullish tickers
RIVNTHUMBLEHOODRKLB
Bearish tickers
HOODRKLB
HOOD
Bullish
Still loved and seen as having a bright future and potential to continue growing.
Bearish
Trimmed as it reached a large share of the portfolio and appeared higher priced, increasing downside risk.
RKLB
Bullish
Believed to have a bright future and continued growth despite recent trimming.
Bearish
Trimmed after strong appreciation and when it became a large portfolio position, reducing concentration risk.
RIVN
3 price targets
506080
Bullish
Actively accumulating shares as a long-term, high-conviction holding.
Bearish
Would trim or unload if the share price reaches expected future levels (e.g., $50–$80).
THUMBLE
Bullish
Accumulating shares alongside Rivian as a long-term position.