Buy Hold Rant
Rivian Beat Expectations, but Stocks Plummeted. What are Investors Missing?
10/9/2025, 4:33:54 PM
Economic Summary
- The removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit is reducing demand expectations for EVs, and markets expect Rivian (RIVN) deliveries to slow in Q4, which pressured the stock.
- Rivian's product roadmap—an autonomy day announcement and a planned R2 launch possibly in early 2026—could be catalysts for significant upside if capabilities and adoption meet or exceed expectations.
- Speaker believes Rivian has enough cash to weather short-term headwinds, framing current weakness as a potential buying opportunity rather than an existential risk for the next couple of years.
Bullish
- Rivian's upcoming autonomy day could reveal advanced capabilities and drive upside.
- R2 launch (potentially early 2026) plus autonomy could materially increase Rivian's value.
- Rivian's R1 is a higher-priced vehicle and is less affected by the $7,500 credit.
- Company reportedly has sufficient cash runway to avoid near-term bankruptcy risk.
Bearish
- Removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit will likely reduce Rivian (RIVN) demand in Q4.
- Market expectations of declining deliveries led to a sharp negative reaction and share-price drop.
- If R2 or autonomy capabilities disappoint, the stock could decline substantially.
Bullish tickers
RIVNHOODRKLB
Bearish tickers
RIVN
RIVN
1 price targets
13
Bullish
Upcoming autonomy day, expected R2 launch (early 2026), R1's higher price reduces credit sensitivity, and sufficient cash runway suggest strong upside.
Bearish
Loss of the $7,500 tax credit likely to reduce near-term sales and hurt Q4 deliveries, prompting negative market reaction.
HOOD
Bullish
Mentioned as a past example where the speaker was bullish at low prices.
RKLB
Bullish
Mentioned as a past example where the speaker was bullish at low prices.
People mentioned
RJ