Earnings AnalysisFeed overview
Crossroads

How this investing method gave 73% gains in 45 days (Aehr Test Systems)

8/27/2025, 4:55:35 PM
Economic Summary
  • Stanley Druckenmiller's 'invest, then investigate' approach advocates making a modest initial investment based on intuition or trusted sources, then doing deeper due diligence; this can capture outsized returns before broader market recognition, as with NVIDIA (NVDA).
  • In strong bull markets, delaying entry to perform extended analysis often causes missed opportunities and forces buying at higher prices; the speaker missed earlier gains in Rocket Lab (RKLB) after waiting to investigate.
  • Microcap situations can create high-conviction, catalyst-driven opportunities when the market oversells on transient issues (e.g., tariff noise); however, these names remain highly volatile and carry elevated risk, illustrated by the speaker's trade in Air Test Systems (AIR TEST SYSTEMS).
  • Practical position sizing—small initial stakes (around 1% of portfolio)—is recommended to ensure a name remains on your radar and justifies ongoing research without overexposure.
Bullish
  • Invest-then-investigate lets you capture early upside before broad discovery and price adjustment.
  • Starting with a small position (≈1% of portfolio) fixes attention and enables deeper subsequent research.
  • Early stakes in companies like NVIDIA (NVDA) captured substantial gains ahead of the AI-driven ramp.
Bearish
  • Microcap names can be extremely volatile and driven by one-off issues like tariff noise.
  • Spending weeks on due diligence in a bull market risks missing the move and paying a premium.
  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) may be trading at a premium after a rapid run from prior lows.
Bullish tickers
NVDARKLBAIR TEST SYSTEMS
Bearish tickers
AIR TEST SYSTEMSRKLB
NVDA
Bullish
Early investment captured the AI-driven ramp; example of invest-then-investigate succeeding.
RKLB
3 price targets
4710
Bullish
Growth thesis around Neutron rockets and expanding launch business attracted long-term investors.
Bearish
Rapid run from multiyear lows to double digits suggests the stock may now trade at a premium.
AIR TEST SYSTEMS
1 price targets
14.05
Bullish
Profitable, oversold after tariff noise with unique positioning and catalyst-driven recent gains.
Bearish
Microcap with tariff-related selloff and high volatility, not suitable for all investors.
People mentioned
CrossroadsStanley DruckenmillerSteve MandelJulian RobertsonGeorge SorosMatt Money