steven fiorillo
How @futurenvesting Finds Undervalued Stocks: His Full Strategy
10/16/2025, 4:10:05 AM
Economic Summary
- BlackRock estimates about $1.5 trillion of capex over five years just for data center shells and cores (excludes chips), implying a multi‑year, large‑scale buildout that will drive sustained demand for GPUs and semiconductors (impacts NVDA, TSM, MU).
- The AI/data‑center cycle is likely multi‑year (speaker extended horizon to 5–10 years); big tech free cash flow (Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta) is funding much of this expansion, reducing reliance on debt or venture capital.
- Long‑term market perspective: historically the S&P trend is upward; the speaker emphasizes long time horizons and that temporary drawdowns are normal, supporting buy‑and‑hold for durable businesses.
- CapEx in this cycle is largely funded by operating cash flow (not debt), lowering systemic financial risk compared with prior tech bubbles and strengthening the case for continued investment in infrastructure owners and chip suppliers.
- Crypto/tokenization note: speaker is buying Ethereum and BMNR; expects tokenization, stablecoins, and protocol changes to potentially make ETH deflationary and lift prices over a multi‑year horizon (2026–2028 timeframe).
Bullish
- NVDA dominant in GPUs; massive AI/data-center demand tailwind.
- AMZN long-term upside; speaker targets $1,000 share price.
- TSM benefits from large chip orders and constrained capacity.
- SOFI: product expansion and bank license could drive multi-year growth.
- MU (Micron) to benefit from increased DRAM demand for AI workloads.
- GOOGL/MSFT: strong cloud/software bundles support continued enterprise adoption.
Bearish
- Costco appears overvalued relative to its slow-margin, lower-growth profile.
- PayPal shows business concerns and has been exited by the speaker.
- DraftKings faces potential tax/regulatory headwinds from new legislation.
Bullish tickers
NVDAAMZNTSMSOFIMUGOOGLMSFT
Bearish tickers
COSTPYPLDKNG
NVDA
Bullish
Market leader in GPUs with sustained AI/data center demand, strategic investments, and continued upward earnings revisions.
Bearish
Concerns about valuation and froth, though speaker argues earnings revisions justify premium.
AMZN
1 price targets
1000
Bullish
Long‑term secular growth, cloud leadership, and speaker specifically targets $1,000 per share as a multi‑year outcome.
Bearish
AWS operating income can be lumpy and cross‑sell disadvantages versus Microsoft/Google suites.
SOFI
Bullish
Rapid product expansion into checking, savings, investing and cards created a super‑app TAM opportunity; bank license accelerates growth.
Bearish
Vulnerable in slowing markets; 2022 presented headwinds that tested conviction.
PYPL
Bullish
Previously seen as a no‑brainer value play but currently not favored by the speaker.
Bearish
Speaker exited position; cites business worries despite apparent valuation appeal.
COST
Bullish
Operationally strong retailer with loyal customer base, but thin margins concern the speaker.
Bearish
Viewed as stretched relative to growth; trading at higher multiples than some high‑growth tech names.
TSM
Bullish
Direct beneficiary of large AI chip orders and constrained capacity; strong runway from OpenAI/NVIDIA demand.
Bearish
Geopolitical/China risks often cited industry concerns (speaker is less worried but noted as factor).
MU
Bullish
DRAM demand should accelerate with AI/data center growth, positioning Micron well.
Bearish
Memory cyclical risk and potential inventory cycles.
GOOGL
Bullish
Strong cash flow and integrated productivity suite gives Google advantages in cloud and AI monetization.
Bearish
Cloud competition and execution risks exist, but not a focus of major bearishness here.
BMNR
Bullish
Speaker is accumulating BMNR and would benefit if Ethereum appreciation occurs; used as part of crypto exposure strategy.
COREWEAVE
Bullish
Potential high‑growth data center play if it can secure hardware and scale with AI demand.
Bearish
Private/early‑stage risks; speaker needs more due diligence before committing.
PLTR
Bullish
Strong commercial growth, high net dollar retention, and clear pathway to profitability according to speaker.
Bearish
Valuation questions exist; expensive by some metrics.
People mentioned
TannerSteveWarren BuffettJensen HuangTom LeeAndy JassyChrisAmitSamDerek WhiteElon MuskMattSteven