Antonio Linares
"Palantir Stock Will Make MILLIONAIRES"
10/7/2025, 2:49:05 PM
Economic Summary
- Palantir (PLTR) filed a patent to connect digital twins, which could turn its ontology product into a network effect platform and materially widen its moat, enabling substantial top-line and margin expansion over time.
- Enterprise AI adoption remains low (small percentage in the US, near-zero in Europe), implying a large untapped market where firms with proprietary data advantages can train differentiated models and capture disproportionate value.
- Over the long run stock prices tend to track free cash flow per share; therefore, if AI materially increases companies' free cash flow per share, valuations could rise dramatically, favoring long-term investors.
- Palantir's productization and verticalization (e.g., Warp Speed for manufacturing) make deployments repeatable and harder to replicate, creating compounding advantages as each vertical and horizontal instance scales.
- The investment thesis is contingent on AI scaling laws persisting; failure or slower progress in model improvements would significantly reduce expected upside and increase risk.
Bullish
- Palantir patent to connect digital twins could create a networked ontology moat.
- Verticalized OS (Warp Speed) drives faster customer onboarding and margin expansion.
- Companies with proprietary data can train unique AIs and capture outsized value.
- Long-term free cash flow growth from AI adoption can drive massive share gains.
Bearish
- AI scaling laws could stop or slow, undermining transformational upside.
- High current valuations may reflect froth, increasing downside for short-term holders.
- Thematic investing without long horizons risks large losses if AI adoption stalls.
Bullish tickers
PLTRSPOTAMDTSLAHIMSSANDERIL
PLTR
3 price targets
18478
Bullish
Patent for connecting digital twins and decades of ontology work could create an unbeatable networked platform.
Bearish
Relies on continued AI scaling and network effects; valuation is higher now than early entry points.
SPOT
1 price targets
97.5
Bullish
Mentioned as a successful past investment entry point (bought around $97.50).
Bearish
Not discussed in depth; referenced as a past entry price rather than a current endorsement.
HIMSS
1 price targets
15
Bullish
Cited as a past asymmetric bet bought at $15 that worked well for the speaker.
Bearish
Not detailed; cited as an early low-price entry example rather than a current thesis.
AMD
1 price targets
4.2
Bullish
Listed as an example of an early asymmetric investment entry (bought around $4.20).
Bearish
No explicit bearish case given in the transcript.
TSLA
1 price targets
13
Bullish
Cited as a prior successful asymmetric investment (bought around $13).
Bearish
No explicit bearish case given in the transcript.
ANDERIL
Bullish
Example client (spelled 'Anderil' in transcript) that benefited from Palantir's verticalized OS in manufacturing/defense.
Bearish
Not a core subject; used as an example of a customer benefiting from Palantir's Warp Speed.
People mentioned
Ronald McDonald