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State Street eyes mutual funds as Wall Street turns to ETFs

11/5/2025, 9:41:34 PM
Economic Summary
  • About $4 trillion of retirement assets are invested in index strategies but face wrapper fragmentation because many retirement plans (e.g., 401k/403b) cannot buy ETFs, creating structural demand for mutual-fund variants of ETF exposures.
  • State Street (STT) is pursuing mutual fund share classes of its ETFs to bring ETF content, scale, and lower costs to retirement products, leveraging its $1.7 trillion ETF business.
  • If the SEC permits multi-share-class structures for the same vehicle and timing aligns with government actions, asset managers could offer identical exposures across ETF and mutual fund wrappers, reducing inefficiency.
  • Adoption is expected to be watched through 2026, with some firms already filing to offer retirement-focused strategies, indicating potential industry-wide product shifts.
Bullish
  • State Street can leverage its $1.7 trillion in ETF assets to offer low-cost mutual fund share classes.
  • Creating mutual-fund share classes of ETFs could unlock ~ $4 trillion in retirement index demand.
  • Other asset managers may follow, expanding product availability for retirement plans.
  • Mutual fund wrappers remove tax frictions for retirement accounts, matching ETF strategies to plan constraints.
Bearish
  • Regulatory and wrapper fragmentation limits ETF access for retirement plans, slowing adoption.
  • SEC approval and government timing uncertainty could delay product launches.
  • Investors may not prefer mutual funds over ETFs when both are available side-by-side.
  • Competition and execution risk for ETF firms entering the mutual fund retirement market.
Bullish tickers
STTFM INVESTMENTS
Bearish tickers
STTFM INVESTMENTS
STT
Bullish
Can leverage $1.7T in ETF assets and scale to offer low-cost mutual-fund share classes that address $4T retirement demand.
Bearish
Regulatory delays, execution risk entering mutual fund retirement market, and continued wrapper fragmentation may erode near-term gains.
FM INVESTMENTS
Bullish
Has filed to offer strategies in retirement plans, positioning to capture demand for ETF-like mutual fund products.
Bearish
Unclear adoption and competitive pressures; filing intent may not translate to broad market success.
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