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Fundstrat

S&P 500 at 7,000? Fundstrat's Tom Lee Explains the Path Into Year-End

8/20/2025, 7:45:33 PM
Economic Summary
  • The speaker frames August through year-end as a final phase during which two main stories will play out over the next four months: a Fed policy pivot and an ISM recovery.
  • A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve is expected to provide significant relief to financial markets, boosting risk sentiment and supporting asset prices.
  • The Fed has been on pause for all of 2025, which underpins market expectations for lower rates or more accommodative policy and may help spur an ISM rebound.
Bullish
  • Dovish Fed pivot supports market rally and risk appetite
  • Expect ISM (manufacturing) improvement into year-end
Bearish

No bearish cases captured.