Fundstrat
S&P 500 at 7,000? Fundstrat's Tom Lee Explains the Path Into Year-End
8/20/2025, 7:45:33 PM
Economic Summary
- The speaker frames August through year-end as a final phase during which two main stories will play out over the next four months: a Fed policy pivot and an ISM recovery.
- A dovish pivot by the Federal Reserve is expected to provide significant relief to financial markets, boosting risk sentiment and supporting asset prices.
- The Fed has been on pause for all of 2025, which underpins market expectations for lower rates or more accommodative policy and may help spur an ISM rebound.
Bullish
- Dovish Fed pivot supports market rally and risk appetite
- Expect ISM (manufacturing) improvement into year-end
Bearish
No bearish cases captured.