Paper Gains
AltCoin August
8/11/2025, 8:34:04 PM
Economic Summary
- ISM services nearly stagnated and employment contracted last week, raising stagflation concerns; that environment typically favors inflation hedges such as gold (GLD) over broad equities.
- CPI (Tuesday) is the major data pivot for the week—hot prints could reverse risk-on flows while light prints plus strong retail sales (Prime Week) could reinforce gains; PPI and jobless claims follow later in the week.
- Several Fed speakers (Waller, Kashkari, Daly) have signaled openness to rate cuts, which pressured front-end expectations and supports risk assets if cuts appear likely.
- Trade headlines matter: trade deficit fell on weaker imports and a 90-day US–China tariff pause is expiring—tariff/news flow can move sectors, especially large multinationals and retailers (TGT, HD).
- 13F season approaches (disclosures of holdings as of June 30), which often produces stock-specific moves late in the week as hedge funds and managers reveal positioning.
Bullish
- Apple buyers absorbing supply after $100B US investment, under-owned institutional positioning.
- Tesla technical squeeze/pivot at 335 could trigger a multi-month breakout.
- Crypto (ETH) momentum and stablecoin/treasury demand fueling a strong breakout.
- Gold as a hedge if stagflation or labor weakness accelerates.
Bearish
- Stagflation risk (high inflation + weak services/employment) could pressure equities and boost hedges like gold.
- Hot CPI or PPI prints this week could trigger broad market pullbacks and derail recent rallies.
- Earnings/execution worries for retailers and cyclicals (Target, Caterpillar, UPS) could spark sector weakness.
- Apple and other large-cap leaders may be extended and vulnerable to mean reversion after big moves.
Bullish tickers
AAPLTSLANVDAPANWUBERGLDETH
Bearish tickers
CATDISMCDTGTUPS
AAPL
3 price targets
235250275
Bullish
Under-owned large-cap that just priced in strong US investment news; dip-buying continues to support upside.
Bearish
Valuation extended after a multi-day surge; lack of sellers could reverse if macro data disappoints.
TSLA
2 price targets
335600
Bullish
Tight moving-average squeeze and technical confluence at 335 set up for a potential sustained multi-month rally.
Bearish
High event and execution risk; a failure below the 335 pivot could lead to sharp pullback.
NVDA
Bullish
AI leadership and upcoming earnings create a strong bullish catalyst if results beat expectations.
Bearish
High expectations into upcoming earnings make shares vulnerable to disappointment.
PANW
1 price targets
172
Bullish
Appears to be basing and de-risking ahead of earnings; needs to reclaim ~169–172 to confirm strength.
Bearish
Security/software sector weakness and limited time ahead of earnings could weigh on the name.
UBER
2 price targets
9590
Bullish
Quarterly-high test (~95) and tight intra-day structure suggest upside if it holds above pre-market highs.
Bearish
Squeeze setup can reverse quickly; breaking under ~$90 would signal a swift pullback.
GLD
Bullish
Viewed as a hedge during stagflation/labor weakness; constructive on dips amid inflation concerns.
Bearish
Short-term tariff and headline-driven moves can cause pullbacks after spikes.
ETH
Bullish
Momentum, crypto-treasury activity, and stablecoin flows support breakout potential and continued upside.
Bearish
Highly volatile; raw supply/demand dynamics can produce large retracements to lower support zones.
COREWEAVE
Bullish
First-time reporting could reprice expectations if growth/volatility surprises to the upside.
Bearish
Uncertain liquidity and first/early earnings reporting make options/stock highly unpredictable.
People mentioned
Donald TrumpTom LeeEvan ItoChristopher WallerNeel KashkariMary DalyWarren BuffettBill AckmanMichael SaylorElon MuskMiss CleoAmit