Paper Gains
AltCoin August [LIVE]
8/11/2025, 7:06:14 PM
Economic Summary
- Revised labor data materially weakened the labor-market picture, so a hot CPI print would create stagflation dynamics; that combo would likely boost safe-haven assets like gold (GLD) and weigh on cyclicals.
- CPI this week is the market’s key pivot—traders expect the CPI print to reset the weekly trend, with PPI and jobless claims as secondary follow-ups that can refine the reaction.
- Several Fed officials (Bowman, Waller, Kashkari, Daly) are referenced as wanting rate cuts; Bowman is noted as expecting three cuts this year, a view not fully priced into markets.
- Retail sales (including Prime-week impact) and 13F filings are important micro/macro catalysts this week; strong retail sales after a light CPI could flip sentiment unexpectedly.
- Earnings and corporate events (Dow components, CoreWeave, Circle, Cisco, Tesla, Palo Alto) remain critical short-term drivers—companies can change technical setups rapidly on earnings or conference guidance.
- Crypto market flows and treasury/stablecoin allocations remain influential: the speakers note that crypto treasuries and renewed demand can produce fast, uncircuit‑broken price moves.
Bullish
- Gold upside if CPI is hot and labor is weak (stagflation hedge).
- Apple dip-buying momentum; technical breakout run to mid-200s/250s possible.
- Tesla technical squeeze could produce a multi-month strong move toward the 600s.
- Palo Alto Networks appears to be basing ahead of earnings, potential upside.
- Home Depot and large retailers (WMT/COST) showing constructive breakouts and seasonal strength.
Bearish
- Labor revisions make the labor market look weak, raising recession/stagflation risk if CPI prints hot.
- Tariff or policy concerns could pressure gold and related trades (GLD).
- Target appears to have execution concerns; a failure below key levels could trigger violent sell-offs.
- UPS is described as deeply depressed and at multi-year lows, signaling operational/earnings risk.
- Cisco seen as saturated, reliant on acquisitions, limiting upside (CSCO).
Bullish tickers
AAPLTSLAPANWHDCOSTWMTGLD
Bearish tickers
TGTUPSGLDCSCO
AAPL
4 price targets
235250275215
Bullish
Persistent dip-buying and technical breakout setup; options/positioning suggest upside toward mid-200s and 250s.
Bearish
Sideways retest of the 'trade war zone' could invite selling if sellers finally show up.
TSLA
3 price targets
335450600
Bullish
Tight SMAs and a technical squeeze set up a potential multi-month, extended move with measured targets into the 600s.
Bearish
Requires a number of non-technical conditions to stay favorable; a failure under pivots would invalidate the squeeze.
PANW
Bullish
Appears to be basing and de-risking ahead of earnings; watch breakout over key pivots.
Bearish
Security/software sector weakness could pressure shares into earnings.
TGT
2 price targets
105100
Bullish
If it regains >105 after CPI, it could offer a tactical long ahead of earnings.
Bearish
Market concerned about execution; failing key levels could lead to violent downside.
UPS
Bullish
Any positive conference commentary or guidance could spark a relief bounce from depressed levels.
Bearish
Described as 'epically in the dumpster' with the stock far off prior highs, implying operational or demand concerns.
GLD
2 price targets
305325
Bullish
Stagflation (weak labor + hot CPI) scenario would likely send gold sharply higher as a hedge.
Bearish
Tariff concerns or short-term policy headlines can temporarily weigh on gold.
UBER
3 price targets
90.1892.795
Bullish
Holding above the pre-market high (around $90) and clearing tight SMAs could produce a short-term pop.
Bearish
Squeezy setup can reverse quickly; a break under the pre-market low would roll into lower consolidation.
HD
2 price targets
388410
Bullish
Out of a base and over the 200-day; looks constructive with room to run toward the high 300s/410 area.
Bearish
A failure at the near-term pivot could negate the run and expose earlier consolidation.
People mentioned
BowmanWallerKashkariDalyEvanChris PatelJuneTom LeeWarren BuffettBill AckmanMichael SaylorMichael BurryPeter ThielMiss CleoElon MuskDonald TrumpPaper