Paper Gains
EARNINGS SEASON HAS ARRIVED! [LIVE]
7/14/2025, 6:11:22 PM
Economic Summary
- U.S. consumer credit increased by $5.1B last week versus an $11B estimate and a prior $16.87B gain, indicating consumers may be spending less than expected and potentially moderating near-term CPI pressure.
- FOMC minutes and Fed commentary suggest policymakers have discussed cutting rates later this year, but markets currently price no cut at the next meeting (July 30); one-to-two cuts are priced by year-end, leaving room for a near-term policy-driven market move.
- Upcoming market-moving data this week includes CPI (market's favorite gauge) and PPI, with CPI especially likely to move markets; the Beige Book and numerous Fed speakers will feed into the July 30 FOMC decision process.
Bullish
- Tom Lee-linked BMNR holds large Ethereum stake, giving headline-driven upside.
- Google (GOOGL) seasonality is historically strong in July with upside into earnings.
- Salesforce (CRM) failed breakdown looks like a buy-the-dip setup for a swing.
- Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Shopify (SHOP) showing strong intraday breakout momentum.
Bearish
- SBET plunged after a capital raise, signaling dilution or negative sentiment.
- Consumer credit growth softened far below estimates, suggesting weaker consumer spending.
- Tariff-driven inflation risks and lack of a near-term Fed cut could pressure stocks.
- Tarot/theme warning: potential abrupt market reversal or 'crash' risk this week.
Bullish tickers
BMNRETHSBETGOOGLCRMRKLBMRVLMDBCAVASHOP
Bearish tickers
SBETBMNRGENERAL_ECONOMY
BMNR
5 price targets
48122430160
Bullish
Holds a very large Ethereum stake tied to Tom Lee, which creates headline-driven demand and potential rally catalysts.
Bearish
Dropped ~60% recently and lacks options/liquidity; small market cap makes it volatile and vulnerable to sharp declines.
ETH
Bullish
Multiple trusts (BMNR, SBET) and large foundation holdings create structural demand for Ethereum.
Bearish
Crypto volatility and headline risk could pressure ETH despite large trust holdings.
SBET
Bullish
Still holds a very large amount of ETH which could support longer-term value if market stays hot.
Bearish
Severe post-capital-raise selloff indicates dilution concerns and heavy negative sentiment.
GOOGL
3 price targets
181.7190203
Bullish
Strong July seasonality (historically up) and clear path to the 190–203 area into earnings.
Bearish
Needs an open-and-close above the pivot (~181.7) or it may face a pullback into the 170s/low 180s.
CRM
Bullish
Shows a failed breakdown / liquidity-grab setup that the host is buying for a swing trade.
Bearish
Software sector volatility can push CRM lower; liquidity grabs could retest prior lows.
RKLB
Bullish
Strong intraday performance and inclusion in 'surgical strikes' list suggests momentum upside.
Bearish
High intraday volatility can reverse quickly; morning spikes have daggered some positions.
MRVL
1 price targets
75
Bullish
Dip buyers showed up; holding constructive action could lead to continuation toward prior highs.
Bearish
Recent Goldman 'hold' and consolidation mean downside if it fails the 20-day moving average.
MDB
1 price targets
213
Bullish
Woke up late last week and is sitting in a squeeze zone that could fuel a move higher.
Bearish
Extended software weakness and late-stage liquidity grabs could push it lower before re-acceleration.
CAVA
1 price targets
85
Bullish
Host is long and will watch a re-test near the mid-80s as a fresh entry opportunity.
Bearish
Trading into resistance; could take a hard breather after strong runs.
SHOP
1 price targets
117.2
Bullish
Triggering a breakout setup (near ~117) and showing strong intraday momentum.
Bearish
Can be treacherous with headline-driven moves and past tariff-related shocks.
People mentioned
Tom LeeEvanMiss CleoLarry CulpMatt MoneyFrankieTrudSpiderJerome Powell