Paper Gains
MOOO DEEZ TARIFFS [LIVE]
5/19/2025, 6:04:16 PM
Economic Summary
- Moody's downgraded the U.S. credit rating (stripping AAA), prompting debate about demand for U.S. debt and implications for yields and markets.
- Treasury market stress is a watchpoint: the 10-year yield (TNX) was ~4.56%, and a move toward 5% would be disruptive; the upcoming 20-year auction is a key event to monitor.
- Fed and macro calendar is busy post-FOMC: many Fed speeches, Red Book (retail sales), Beige Book, UK CPI, Australia rate decision, jobless claims, and housing data could drive near-term moves.
- Consumer sentiment is near record lows, and Powell warned inflation may become more volatile due to supply shocks — complicating the path for policy cuts.
Bullish
- Price action is resilient — market 'doesn't care' about the downgrade and keeps buying.
- Tariff/Trump headlines can provide persistent, market-moving bullish catalysts.
- Institutional underallocation may create catch-up inflows into equities (rotation/ETF inclusion like COIN).
- Potential sovereign buying of Treasuries could lower yields and ease financial conditions.
Bearish
- Market internals (advance/decline, net flows) are weak and diverging from price, a classic topping signal.
- Moody's downgrade removing the U.S. AAA rating raises risk for demand in Treasuries and higher yields.
- UnitedHealth (UNH) faces management turnover and alleged criminal Medicare fraud probe, a major company-specific risk.
- A weak 20-year Treasury auction or 10-year yield spiking toward 5% could derail the rally.
Bullish tickers
COINSHOPNETSOFIMSFTABBVHDLLYRKLBTSLA
Bearish tickers
UNHSPYREDDIT
UNH
2 price targets
250290
Bullish
Technically attempting to recover from lows; pullbacks into the high-200s could be tactical buying opportunities.
Bearish
Management turnover and an alleged criminal Medicare fraud investigation create material downside risk and long recovery timelines.
LLY
1 price targets
720
Bullish
Seen as a buyable equity setup with an entry area around 720 on the weekly chart.
Bearish
Longer-term fundamentals and pipeline risks not deeply analyzed here; volume shelf could cap upside.
ABBV
Bullish
Viewed as a favorable risk-reward long in the healthcare trade-war/turmoil zone with dividend appeal.
Bearish
No strong bearish read given in the episode; watch broader sector weakness.
JNJ
1 price targets
147
Bullish
Weekly setup shows potential breakout/recovery around the 147–148 area as a tactical buy.
Bearish
Longer-term recovery could be slow; broadening formation implies volatility.
HD
1 price targets
393
Bullish
A decisive break and reclaim above ~393 would signal a return toward prior weekly trend and new highs.
Bearish
Failure to reclaim the 390–393 neckline would be negative given prior head-and-shoulders action.
NET
2 price targets
165175
Bullish
Technical weekly bull flag; holding weekly levels looks constructive for further upside toward mid-$100s.
Bearish
Running into resistance at higher weekly levels could lead to consolidation and retracement to mark higher lows.
SOFI
2 price targets
1416
Bullish
Repeated failures by bears to push lower make it a potential springboard toward $15–$16 if support holds.
Bearish
Multiple failed attempts at resistance could lead to deeper pullbacks into the low-$12s.
RKLB
2 price targets
2728
Bullish
Picture-perfect breakout/retest on the chart; constructive trajectory toward the high $20s if it holds.
Bearish
Small-cap volatility could produce sharp reversals on failed breakouts.
COIN
Bullish
S&P inclusion could bring inflows and rotational interest into the name.
Bearish
Inclusion flows may be limited; business and volatility risks persist.
SHOP
Bullish
Joining the NASDAQ 100 could support a rotation into the stock.
Bearish
No specific bearish case discussed; watch earnings/rotation risks.
MSFT
Bullish
Mega-cap strength and momentum point toward continued upside and potential all-time highs.
Bearish
Internals divergence could cap mega-cap strength if breadth deteriorates.
TSLA
Bullish
Requested for a chart review — implied ongoing interest from community and traders.
Bearish
Not deeply discussed; remains a technical watchlist name with volatility.
SPY
2 price targets
575588
Bullish
Price action remains resilient; pullbacks into the 565–588 area are viewed as buying opportunities by the host.
Bearish
Internals divergence and poor auction demand could cause significant downside if yields spike.
REDDIT
Bullish
Chart support areas around 100–115 make it a tactical area of interest if fundamentals can be addressed.
Bearish
Business model concerns around search/monetization versus AI alternatives pose long-term risk.
People mentioned
Donald TrumpJerome PowellMiss CleoJamieNickPaulJasperAmitJunePatrickLivJasonShifley