Paper Gains
Tariffs Cool Off: "Don't worry about China!" [LIVE]
10/13/2025, 7:03:34 PM
Economic Summary
- Global central banks (China, Poland, India cited) have materially increased gold reserves over years, supporting a long‑term bull thesis in gold amid a weaker U.S. dollar and geopolitical risk.
- This week is light on major economic releases (many PPI, retail sales, jobless claims data absent), so markets will focus on Fed speeches and the Beige Book Wednesday ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
- Broadcom announced a massive joint development for up to 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerators and networking systems, implying multi‑year demand for AI chips and related capex across the semiconductor ecosystem (AVGO mentioned).
- Market liquidity is thinning into the holiday season (Halloween through Christmas), increasing the chance of sharper intraday swings; October often grinds sideways into Q4 earnings and the Santa Claus rally.
Bullish
- Broadcom's custom AI accelerator agreement should materially boost semiconductor demand (AVGO).
- Gold and precious metals rising as central banks diversify away from the dollar.
- Rare‑earth and materials names ripping higher on supply concerns and tariff headlines (MP, USAR).
- Buy‑the‑dip behavior and strong flows into miners/miners‑turned‑data‑centers support miners (RIOT, MARA).
- SMCI momentum and headlines make it a favored dip buy (SMCI).
Bearish
- ASML earnings risk could drag the whole semiconductor group lower (ASML).
- NIO shows weak momentum and limited catalysts; risk of further underperformance (NIO).
- Small‑cap / low liquidity names vulnerable to violent moves and poor option fills.
Bullish tickers
SMCIAVGOMPUSARCRMRIOTMARAMSTRPANW
Bearish tickers
ASMLNIODBRGNKTR
SMCI
2 price targets
100120
Bullish
Bought the dip; headlines and data‑center demand make it a high‑conviction swing trade.
Bearish
Extended run raises risk of profit taking and short‑dated option hedges could be costly.
AVGO
Bullish
Broadcom's 10 gigawatt AI accelerator deal is a structural positive for chip demand.
Bearish
Huge headline already priced in; disappointment on execution could reverse gains.
MP
1 price targets
98
Bullish
Rare‑earth supply concerns and tariff headlines are driving strong accumulation (nearly $100).
Bearish
Sharp run could invite mean reversion after rapid gains.
USAR
Bullish
U.S. rare earth plays benefiting from geopolitical supply narratives and tariff fears.
Bearish
Microcap/volatile warrants increase execution and liquidity risk.
CRM
Bullish
Dreamforce and potential turnaround narrative could catalyze a front‑running rally.
Bearish
Longstanding downtrend and execution risk could keep it under pressure if Dreamforce disappoints.
RIOT
1 price targets
20
Bullish
Technical breakout and data‑center conversion narratives support further gains toward low‑20s.
Bearish
Miners remain headline‑sensitive and could reverse on policy or bitcoin weakness.
MARA
Bullish
Miners accelerating on conversions and crypto strength; momentum remains supportive.
Bearish
Volatility from conversions and sector rotation could produce swift pullbacks.
MSTR
2 price targets
285345
Bullish
Higher lows and potential reacceleration if market heat returns; attractive if sub‑300.
Bearish
Broadening range risks further downside; needs market participation to confirm move.
PANW
2 price targets
208225
Bullish
Recently broke out; pre‑earnings run could push it toward the low‑220s.
Bearish
Earnings season and short‑term volatility could pressure the stock.
ASML
Bullish
If ASML beats, semis could lift, but the speaker is cautious given past results.
Bearish
Has fumbled recent reports and can drag the broader semiconductor group on a miss.
NIO
Bullish
If channel holds, bounces are possible, but risk remains elevated.
Bearish
Speaker is not a fan; chart looks stunted with limited catalysts in near term.
DBRG
Bullish
Elon following CEO spurred short‑term interest, but fundamentals look questionable.
Bearish
Long‑term chart looks weak; dividend payout concerns and messy technicals.
NKTR
Bullish
Occasional option sentiment spikes, but low volume undermines reliable moves.
Bearish
Biotech names are catalyst‑dependent and prone to buy‑the‑rumor sell‑the‑news behavior.
People mentioned
Donald TrumpXi JinpingMarc BenioffSundar PichaiBrian NicholsEvanAmitDinaJayPatrickNickVlad TenevElon MuskCleo