Sam Badawi
This ETF Caught the WHOLE MOVE on TSLA & IONQ 2x
9/20/2025, 5:28:56 AM
Economic Summary
- Companies are massively investing in AI infrastructure (data centers, semiconductors, power/cooling), implying sustained capex that benefits suppliers like GE Vernova, Vertiv, SK Hynix, and Micron (MU).
- Retail investor flows and momentum (double‑levered ETF inflows) are driving concentrated rallies in names such as Tesla (TSLA) and IonQ (IONQ), enabling products like WILD to systematically capture rapid moves.
- There is a global arms race in AI spending; major platforms (Microsoft, Google, Meta) are overinvesting in infrastructure to avoid falling behind, creating multi‑year demand for cloud, chip, and power solutions.
Bullish
- Massive data‑center and semiconductor capex drives demand for picks‑and‑shovels companies in AI supply chain.
- Systematic ETFs (e.g., WILD) can capture retail flow momentum across top high‑beta names.
- Income overlays on portfolios of Buffett/Ackman holdings attract investor capital seeking steady monthly yield.
Bearish
- Winners in AI are uncertain; OpenAI profitability and ultimate market winners remain unclear.
- Double‑levered single‑stock exposures are highly volatile and can suffer large losses on timing errors.
- Concentrated mega‑cap exposure (via S&P/Nasdaq) leaves investors vulnerable if sentiment abruptly shifts.
Bullish tickers
NVDAMSFTMETASK HYNIXMUGETSLAIONQ
Bearish tickers
TSLANVDAIONQ
TSLA
Bullish
Strong retail and institutional momentum drove large recent gains; remains a high‑beta leader.
Bearish
High sensitivity to sentiment and headline risk; double‑levered single‑stock exposure can magnify losses.
IONQ
1 price targets
70
Bullish
Seen as a pure play quantum name; benefitted from momentum and levered ETF flow.
Bearish
Extreme volatility as a smaller, speculative quantum/quantum‑adjacent name; timing risk for levered players.
WILD
Bullish
Systematic, flow‑based basket approach captured recent multi‑name rallies, delivering strong monthly performance.
Bearish
Performance depends on month‑to‑month flow and may miss idiosyncratic large single‑stock moves.
AIS
Bullish
Supply‑chain methodology targets where AI dollars flow (data center, semiconductors, power/cooling), outperforming broad AI ETFs.
Bearish
Concentration in supply‑chain names may underperform if AI software monetization favors hyperscalers.
ACKY
Bullish
Captures Bill Ackman's top public holdings with an options overlay targeting 15% annual income.
Bearish
Small AUM at launch could mean higher tracking error or liquidity considerations.
OMAH
Bullish
Berkshire‑based portfolio with 15% targeted annual income and strong early AUM traction.
Bearish
Value tilt may lag in a sustained growth rally; income overlay caps upside participation.
QUSA
Bullish
Quality‑tilted ETF offering differentiated exposure away from mega‑cap concentration.
Bearish
Quality tilt may underperform in speculative rallies focused on high‑beta names.
SK HYNIX
Bullish
Major memory supplier and top holding in AI supply‑chain ETF exposure.
Bearish
Geopolitical and supply risks given non‑US listing and industry cyclicality.
MU
Bullish
Key DRAM supplier benefiting from increased AI data center demand.
Bearish
Memory cyclicality can cause volatile earnings and price swings.
GE
Bullish
GE Vernova turbines and power solutions positioned to benefit from on‑campus data center generation builds.
Bearish
Large industrial execution risk and backlog could delay benefits.
NBIS
Bullish
Reported $17.4B Microsoft contract signals major data‑center buildout demand.
Bearish
Single large contract exposure; execution and concentration risk.
NVDA
1 price targets
180
Bullish
Central to AI acceleration; large revenue potential from GPUs and data‑center demand.
Bearish
High valuation and concentration risk if AI monetization disappoints.
PLTR
2 price targets
67
Bullish
Recovered from single‑digit lows and reached new highs amid AI and government contract narratives.
Bearish
Earlier extreme volatility and skepticism around commercialization of products.
META
Bullish
Significant AI capex positions Meta to monetize AI features long term.
Bearish
Large cap AI investments may take time to convert to profits.
MSFT
Bullish
Strategic investment partner (OpenAI) and major cloud/data center investor likely to capture AI revenue.
Bearish
Often functions as an investor in AI rather than pure beneficiary; valuation reflects many expectations.
GOOGL
Bullish
Alphabet’s cloud and AI initiatives position it as a primary AI infrastructure beneficiary.
Bearish
Large R&D spending could pressure margins until monetization occurs.
VRT
Bullish
Providers like Vertiv benefit from the sizable portion of data center cost in power and cooling.
Bearish
Execution and competitive pressures in power/cooling markets.
IBM
Bullish
Active in AI and enterprise solutions, part of broader infrastructure play.
Bearish
Legacy business concerns; slower growth profile relative to pure‑play AI names.
NFLX
Bullish
Potential beneficiary of AI‑driven content and recommendation improvements.
Bearish
Not core to AI infrastructure; inclusion in some AI ETFs reflects marketing overlap.
AMD
Bullish
GPU/compute exposure ties it to AI compute demand.
Bearish
Fierce competition in semiconductors could compress margins.
AAPL
Bullish
Platform strength could monetize AI features broadly across devices.
Bearish
Large cap saturation could limit outsized AI upside.
AXP
Bullish
Part of Buffett‑style portfolios providing diversification away from mega‑cap tech.
Bearish
Financials sensitive to macro shifts and interest rates.
BAC
Bullish
Included in Buffett‑tilted holdings, offering financial sector exposure.
Bearish
Banking sector cyclicality and rate sensitivity.
CB
Bullish
Chubb offers diversification and stable cash flows in value‑tilted portfolios.
Bearish
Insurance sector exposures can lag in market rallies.
CVX
Bullish
Oil majors may be part of diversified, value‑tilted portfolios.
Bearish
Energy commodity exposure can be cyclical and volatile.
MCO
Bullish
Moody’s provides exposure to stable, high‑quality financial services revenue.
Bearish
Ratings business has regulatory and cyclical sensitivities.
BRKB
Bullish
Core of Berkshire‑tilted OMAH ETF, representing Buffett’s portfolio exposure.
Bearish
Holding company structure can limit direct upside compared to pure growth names.
MSTR
Bullish
Included in some portfolios for crypto/alternative exposure; part of thematic plays.
Bearish
High Bitcoin exposure and concentration risk.
HOOD
Bullish
Represents retail brokerage exposure and fintech thematic interest.
Bearish
Platform growth and monetization concerns persist.
People mentioned
Adam PattiJohn McNeilSonny MadraRobert WhitelawBill AckmanWarren BuffettDonald TrumpJensen WongMark Zuckerberg