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The Compound

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The Compound

Never Go All In On Stocks | Animal Spirits 437

11/5/2025, 2:01:17 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Index concentration is extreme: a handful of mega-cap tech names (notably NVDA) are driving S&P returns, producing sharp divergences between headline returns and breadth indicators; these are coincident effects of index composition rather than clear sell signals.
  • Market internals show divergence across cap structures—Russell 2000 up ~12-13% YTD, equal-weight S&P up less—while international markets and emerging markets have outperformed (EM up ~34%), highlighting the value of geographic diversification and currency considerations.
  • Risk management reminder: given sequence-of-return risk and uncertainty about how long this rally lasts, reallocating toward bonds or TIPS (e.g., moving from 70/30 to 50/50 depending on circumstances) is a reasonable defensive stance.
  • AI and jobs: while AI will affect white‑collar roles over time, claims that ChatGPT immediately caused a collapse in job openings are overstated; U.S. labor churn is large and unemployment remains relatively low (~4–4.3%).
  • Infrastructure and capex shift: data-center construction is rapidly rising and closing the gap with office construction, creating knock-on impacts (e.g., land/water competition) and winners among construction and cybersecurity suppliers (CRWD).
  • Consumer demand softening in staples: Kraft Heinz warned of weak consumer sentiment and cut organic sales guidance (KHC), suggesting packaged-food companies face headwinds as consumer preferences shift.
Bullish
  • Apple's services, wearables, and buybacks underpin continued strength in AAPL
  • Amazon and Google momentum (AMZN, GOOG) shows ongoing market leadership
  • Cybersecurity firms (CRWD) poised to benefit from deepfakes and rising security needs
  • International and small-cap strength offers diversification opportunities
Bearish
  • Market concentration in a few mega-cap tech names (e.g., NVDA) can create extreme internals mismatch and sudden volatility
  • Kraft Heinz cut outlook citing weak consumer sentiment, signaling pressure on packaged-food names (KHC, MDLZ)
  • MicroStrategy's premium to its Bitcoin holdings has collapsed, reducing its appeal as a crypto proxy (MSTR)
  • Overstated AI job-impact claims could lead to policy or market overreactions
The Compound

Ask The Compound 196

11/4/2025, 4:37:05 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • AI and related tech (AI, robotics, quantum) are drawing massive capex and could be a speculative bubble, but like the dot-com era the infrastructure buildout may produce long-term benefits and increased productivity.
  • For young investors with 8+ year horizons, the expected frequency of future bear markets and bubbles argues for staying invested and dollar-cost averaging rather than attempting to time market manias.
  • Very low mortgage rates (~3%) represent cheap real borrowing (below inflation) and paying them off removes liquidity; compare paying down principal versus holding equivalent cash in T-bills for flexibility.
  • Cash equivalents and money market funds have regained appeal after recent rate rises, offering ~4% yields without interest-rate risk, but yields will fall if the Fed cuts rates.
  • Historical context: markets cycle through bubbles (dot-com, housing, credit, meme/NFTs) and occasional eras where cash outperforms, so asset allocation and behavior matter more than timing.
Bullish
  • AI infrastructure spending could create long-term productivity gains and durable value.
  • Young investors with multi-decade horizons should stay invested rather than try to time bubbles.
  • High short-term cash yields (money markets/T-bills) provide useful liquidity and dry powder.
Bearish
  • AI/tech capex may be a bubble that could lead to large drawdowns for concentrated tech portfolios.
  • Holding 30%+ solely in tech increases concentration risk and volatility for many investors.
  • Paying off a low-rate (~3%) mortgage can be a poor financial decision due to liquidity and opportunity cost.
The Compound

WAYT? 11-4-2025

11/4/2025, 3:56:08 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Brian Belski Says "The Bull Market Continues"

11/3/2025, 10:00:09 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • China currently dominates rare earth production and refining, driving global supply-security initiatives and boosting investment interest in related ETFs like REMX.
  • Market leadership is concentrated in a few mega-cap AI names (MAG7); strategists suggest neutralizing cap-weight exposure and actively overweighting other areas where stock-specific fundamentals matter more.
  • Profit margins are at historically high levels; adjusted forward P/E looks less alarming once margins are considered, but the sustainability of margins is the main risk to current valuations.
  • The speaker believes a long secular bull market (post-2009) still has years to run but expects intermittent recessions and bear markets; SMID, value, and dividend-growth strategies could act as partial portfolio defenses.
  • Regional and mid-sized banks are under pressure from large and small competitors, implying further consolidation in the banking sector and differentiated outcomes across financials.
Bullish
  • Companies adopting AI and with strong balance sheets can outperform.
  • SMID and value names may broaden leadership away from mega-cap AI stocks.
  • Dividend-growth and high-cash businesses provide defensive, long-term return potential.
  • Supply-chain reshoring in critical minerals benefits rare-earth and strategic metals exposure.
Bearish
  • Concentration risk in MAG7 could reverse, triggering big-relative underperformance.
  • Regional and mid-size banks face consolidation pressure and competitive squeeze.
  • Small-cap names can be volatile and vulnerable if sentiment or margins reverse.
  • High profit margins are key — a sustained margin decline would jeopardize valuations.
The Compound

Chart Fight

11/3/2025, 12:24:10 AM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) is described as having roughly an $80 billion market cap while carrying B-rated (junk) debt, highlighting balance-sheet risk for a company tied to volatile crypto exposure.
  • Very few publicly traded, junk-rated companies have market capitalizations above $10 billion, making MSTR’s scale unusual and a potential red flag for credit and equity investors.
  • Historically MSTR traded at large premiums to the value of its Bitcoin holdings—peaking around 3.5x—because it was a primary brokerage-access vehicle for crypto exposure (alongside GBTC); that premium has since collapsed as investors find direct or leveraged crypto alternatives.
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) trades at a huge market cap while carrying B-rated (junk) debt.
  • MSTR’s historical premium to Bitcoin has collapsed and may not return.
  • Investors can obtain leveraged crypto exposure elsewhere, reducing demand for MSTR.
The Compound

Why Amazon Has Underperformed

11/2/2025, 6:09:22 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Amazon (AMZN) is flat year-to-date and has materially underperformed the Nasdaq; renewed AWS growth (target cited ~22%) is framed as necessary for the stock to rejoin the rally.
  • Competitive dynamics are shifting: Google Cloud (Alphabet/GOOGL under Thomas Kurian) and Microsoft Azure (MSFT, led by Satya Nadella) are cited as gaining share or developer preference, implying margin and growth pressure for AWS.
  • Developer sentiment is presented as a leading indicator: if cutting-edge developers avoid AWS in favor of other platforms, it suggests commoditization of AWS and potential longer-term revenue headwinds for AMZN.
Bullish
  • AMZN could rebound if AWS reports ~22% growth
  • GOOGL showing cloud momentum under Thomas Kurian
  • MSFT benefits from strong enterprise demand for Azure
Bearish
  • AMZN perceived as a commodity retail product, reducing developer interest and long-term innovation appeal
  • AWS outages damaged trust and helps explain AMZN's underperformance versus the Nasdaq
  • Intense competition from Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure is pressuring AWS market share
The Compound

Money and Marriage

11/1/2025, 1:01:27 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Rare earth metals are critical inputs for smartphones, electric vehicles, wind turbines, and defense systems; growing clean-energy and tech adoption will increase long-term demand for these materials.
  • China currently dominates production and refining capacity, creating supply-chain and national-security vulnerabilities that raise geopolitical risk and potential price volatility for companies in this space.
  • Governments and firms worldwide are racing to build independent supply chains and invest across mining to advanced manufacturing, and investors can access this thematic trend via VanEck's REMX ETF.
Bullish
  • Rising demand from EVs, smartphones, wind turbines, and defense supports rare-earth demand.
  • Global efforts to diversify supply chains are accelerating investment across mining and manufacturing.
  • REMX offers investor access to a broad basket benefiting from this secular trend.
Bearish
  • Concentration of rare-earth production in China creates geopolitical and supply-chain risk.
  • Trade restrictions or export controls could sharply disrupt supply and prices.
  • Returns may lag if new non-China supply doesn't scale quickly enough.
The Compound

The Open AI Story

10/31/2025, 9:09:18 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • OpenAI appears to be borrowing far more than prudent, raising credit risk for lenders and partners and potentially forcing aggressive monetization or dilution (OPENAI).
  • Major strategic partnerships — Microsoft (MSFT) for distribution and funding, Oracle (ORCL) for data center infrastructure, and NVIDIA (NVDA) for the underlying platform — have enabled rapid product scale but create concentrated counterparty and execution risk.
  • The emergence of OpenAI's product has materially altered competitive dynamics: Alphabet/Google (GOOG) is described as 'deathly afraid,' implying an accelerated AI race with broader investment and strategic implications for the tech sector.
Bullish
  • Microsoft partnership provides distribution and funding.
  • NVIDIA platform enabled ChatGPT's launch and demand for GPUs.
  • Oracle providing data center support for scale.
Bearish
  • OpenAI is borrowing heavily, creating significant credit and financing risk.
  • Lack of public reporting or transparency (no quarterly calls) undermines investor trust.
  • Escalating AI competition could spur costly arms races among big tech.
The Compound

AI and the Labor Market

10/31/2025, 6:39:31 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • AI is being adopted by companies to increase productivity, but that adoption requires a labor-market rebalancing as tasks shift from people to machines.
  • A key challenge is upskilling: many displaced workers, particularly recent college graduates, are unlikely to retrain fast enough and become idle capacity in the near term.
  • The speaker expects the displacement to be structural and long-term — roughly a 10-year transition rather than a one-year event.
  • The initial impact is concentrated among young, white-collar tech job seekers (developers, programmers), while manual trades like HVAC and landscaping are currently experiencing strong demand; recovery depends on new use-cases or shifts in educational choices.
Bullish
  • AI handoff boosts company productivity and output.
  • New use-cases for tech skills will emerge over time, creating jobs.
  • Workers can pivot to in-demand trades or change majors to match market needs.
Bearish
  • Many workers cannot upskill fast enough, creating persistent idle labor capacity.
  • Recent college grads seeking tech jobs face higher youth white-collar unemployment.
  • The labor-market rebalancing from AI is a long, roughly 10-year disruption.
The Compound

Can it Still Be a Bubble if Everyone Says it's a Bubble?

10/31/2025, 5:14:01 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Historical parallels: 1929, the 2005–06 housing mania, and the late-1990s tech run-up show that broad public awareness doesn't prevent bubbles or crashes.
  • Media coverage and mainstream reporting can document speculative excess (housing 2005–06), yet prices still fell rapidly once the cycle turned.
  • Consensus forecasts can be wrong (example: 2022 recession predictions), so timing macro calls and market exits is difficult and risky.
  • Argument critique: claiming 'it can't be a bubble because everyone thinks it's a bubble' is logically weak and not a reliable market signal.
Bullish
  • Diversification remains a reason to own stocks despite bubble concerns.
  • Recent widespread recession warnings (e.g., 2022) were proven wrong, suggesting contrarian calls may miss timing.
Bearish
  • Many historical episodes (1929, 2005-06 housing, late-90s tech) show bubbles can exist even when widely discussed.
  • Markets showing speculative behavior and overheated consumer behavior can reverse sharply, implying downside risk to stocks.
  • Consensus disbelief ('it can't be a bubble because everyone knows it's a bubble') is a poor defense against a real bubble.
The Compound

What Did the Fed Actually Say? | TCAF 215

10/31/2025, 1:01:40 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Tech capex and AI-related spending are strong and likely to continue; big incumbents (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, META) are still in early innings of deployment, so the stimulus to IT investment can persist across many quarters.
  • There is a risk if AI spending becomes debt-financed: smaller public and private firms could face solvency or ROI problems, while large cash-rich firms (e.g., MSFT) can absorb overspend without broad spillovers for now.
  • Powell signaled that a December rate cut is far from certain, forcing markets to reprice expectations; that communication hit mortgage- and housing-related stocks hardest and raises the probability of a longer pause in policy.
  • Labor market dynamics show a 'low hire, low fire' environment with wages growing near 4%; AI may displace jobs over time but also create new roles, implying possible interim rises in unemployment and political consequences even with corporate margin strength.
  • Shelter inflation metrics (owner's equivalent rent and private rent measures) appear to be decelerating, consistent with a gradual easing in shelter-driven CPI/PCE pressure, though CPI/PCE timing is lagged and noisy.
Bullish
  • Large tech firms continue heavy AI-driven spending, supporting revenue and capex growth.
  • Strong free cash flow at big techs provides a buffer to fund AI investments without immediate distress.
  • Investor flows into AI products/ETFs show broad demand and can sustain sector rallies.
Bearish
  • Debt-financed AI and capex could leave smaller or overlevered firms vulnerable if ROI disappoints.
  • If the Fed delays or skips a December rate cut, housing and mortgage-sensitive stocks may give back gains.
  • AI-driven labor disruption could produce political and social costs despite aggregate economic gains.
The Compound

5 Flavors of Income

10/29/2025, 10:49:13 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • The IRS recognizes five broad categories of income (ordinary wages, interest/dividends, capital gains, passive rentals, IRA/annuity distributions); for typical brokerage accounts, capital gains are the primary category that matters when selling securities.
  • Investors can employ tax-loss harvesting — e.g., holding a broad basket of stocks so losers offset winners — to reduce taxable gains when liquidating positions for cash needs like buying a car or vacation.
  • Certain other tax treatments (business gains, partnership income, installment income, and depreciation rules for Section 1231 property) can sometimes be leveraged to change tax outcomes, but they require specific circumstances and expertise; legislative fixes would need congressional action, which can be delayed by government shutdowns.
Bullish
  • Tax-loss harvesting across a diversified basket can offset gains and reduce taxable income.
  • Business gains, rental depreciation (Section 1231), or partnership/installment income can sometimes be used strategically.
Bearish
  • Tax deductions for selling investments are largely limited to capital gains rules, restricting flexibility.
  • Complex IRS rules (depreciation recapture, 1231 property) create uncertainty and potential unexpected tax liability.
  • Government shutdowns and legislative delays hinder meaningful tax-code changes for investors.
The Compound

What's Going on With Lululemon?

10/29/2025, 8:54:27 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Competition from low-cost retailers like Costco (COST) is pressuring premium apparel brands such as Lululemon (LULU), forcing potential re-pricing or repositioning decisions that could compress margins.
  • Management effectiveness matters materially: the speaker argues Lululemon's leadership has not adapted to changing retail dynamics, implying strategic failures may have direct negative effects on market valuation (LULU).
Bullish
  • Some stakeholders express personal support for CEO Calvin McDonald.
  • Costco's value pricing continues to attract customers and drive its retail model.
Bearish
  • Lululemon faces erosion of pricing power as Costco sells visually similar lower-cost alternatives.
  • Management under CEO Calvin McDonald hasn't sufficiently reinvented strategy to counter low-end competition.
The Compound

Curing Diseases with AI

10/29/2025, 3:36:30 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Major pharma firms prefer lower-cost, higher-probability targets, leaving high-cost diseases like ALS and Parkinson's underinvested and creating opportunity for disruptors.
  • Thermo Fisher (TMO) is engaging with an AI partner ('Sam') to apply gene sequencing to hard diseases; success could shift R&D spending toward sequencing services and boost TMO revenue.
  • The core barrier is economic incentives: startups or AI-focused backers willing to fund expensive, long-shot projects may reallocate capital away from traditional pharma strategies and reshape drug discovery priorities.
Bullish
  • TMO partnering with AI could unlock gene-sequencing-driven drug discovery.
  • AI-driven pursuit of hard diseases opens large, underserved markets.
  • Sam's fundraising and commitment accelerates R&D investment into ambitious projects.
Bearish
  • Drug companies avoid pursuing expensive, difficult diseases like ALS and Parkinson's due to high costs and low near-term returns.
  • High development costs and long timelines could prevent AI + sequencing projects from producing viable, commercial treatments.
  • Pharma skepticism and unwillingness to take risks may block partnerships or slow adoption of new AI-driven drug discovery approaches.
The Compound

Never Pay Off Your Mortgage | Animal Spirits 436

10/29/2025, 1:00:02 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • A breadth thrust after the April washout has coincided with very strong market rebounds, and historically six- and twelve-month returns following that signal have been overwhelmingly positive, implying momentum-driven gains (relevant to broad indices and tech).
  • AI is likely to drive a cycle of layoffs disguised as automation, possible rehiring when automation underdelivers, and could produce a mild, CapEx-led recession tied to tech overinvestment (affects big tech employers and labor markets).
  • Tariff pass-through estimates from Goldman suggest U.S. consumers will ultimately absorb a majority of tariff costs (projected 55% eventually; ~37% observed so far), implying upward price pressure and a consumer tax-like effect.
  • Spending patterns show food away-from-home outpacing food-at-home, indicating persistent consumer preference for convenience despite higher prices and suggesting stickier inflation in services.
  • Housing demand has not meaningfully picked up despite lower mortgage rates; mortgage purchase applications fell and many metros show year-over-year home price declines, implying price adjustments rather than a rate-driven boom.
  • Private markets are being pushed into retirement vehicles (401(k)s) with material flows reported by large managers, indicating institutional appetite for private credit/assets even if retail advisor demand is limited.
Bullish
  • Breadth thrust off April washout historically precedes strong six- and twelve-month returns.
  • JP Morgan enabling BTC/ETH as collateral deepens institutional crypto adoption.
  • Tech's rapid rebound shows powerful momentum and rotational leadership.
  • Record private-asset flows (e.g., Blackstone) show continued institutional demand.
Bearish
  • Narrow leadership with few stocks outperforming raises bubble concerns and fragility.
  • AI-driven layoffs could cause prolonged labor disruption and rehiring reversals.
  • Tariffs act like a hidden consumer tax and may push costs onto households.
  • Housing price declines in many metros and weak mortgage purchase activity signal softness.
  • Cryptocurrency proxy stocks (e.g., MicroStrategy) underperforming their underlying assets.
The Compound

Mag 7 in the Dow

10/29/2025, 1:10:15 AM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Multiple MAG7 members (AMZN, GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT) are represented in the Dow, changing index exposure for these large tech names and affecting investor flows.
  • NVIDIA (NVDA) was reported to replace Intel (INTC) in the Dow on November 1, 2024; that change increased NVDA's index visibility and reportedly created a buying opportunity in INTC.
  • The Dow's price-weighted structure produces unusual top-five weights — GS, MSFT, CAT, HD, UNH — and notable exclusions like META and TSLA, highlighting index composition quirks.
Bullish
  • Intel (INTC) presented a post-replacement buying opportunity.
  • NVIDIA (NVDA) being added to the Dow boosts visibility and demand.
  • Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (AAPL), and Microsoft (MSFT) benefit from Dow inclusion.
Bearish
  • Meta (META) is not in the Dow, indicating less index-driven demand.
  • Tesla (TSLA) likely won't join the Dow, limiting index inclusion benefits.
The Compound

Looking Back at the Dot-com Bubble

10/28/2025, 11:54:40 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • The dot‑com era was characterized by a 'Wild West' of ad models and dealmaking, with companies like DoubleClick and InfoSpace benefiting from aggressive, sometimes legally ambiguous practices that later proved unstable.
  • Today’s large tech firms and entrants like OpenAI operate with substantial balance sheets and top talent, making them far more durable and 'national‑scale' compared with many 1990s internet companies.
  • Retail has consolidated: Walmart and Amazon have disrupted traditional retail, threatening the survival of many chains (mentions include Target and Kohl's), while Costco is noted as an exception likely to persist.
  • Telecom and fiber plays were widely overestimated in the past; many backers and bankers (reference to WorldCom and bankers like those around it) engaged in repeating deals that distorted valuations and outcomes.
Bullish
  • Walmart's scale gives it durable competitive advantage.
  • Amazon dominates online retail and continues to displace competitors.
  • Costco (COST) likely to survive competitive pressure.
  • Large modern tech firms have huge balance sheets and top talent.
Bearish
  • Kohl's (KSS) may not survive Walmart and Amazon's aggressive retail dominance.
  • Many early internet and fiber companies (e.g., InfoSpace) were overhyped and ultimately failed.
  • WorldCom's scandals illustrate distorted, sometimes fraudulent dealmaking in the dot-com era.
  • Smaller or traditional retailers (e.g., Target) face real survival risks from e-commerce giants.
The Compound

529 Asset Allocation

10/28/2025, 10:04:11 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Begin shifting from an all-equity (S&P) allocation roughly five to seven years before college to balance growth with reduced downside risk during the spending period.
  • Investors de-risk for three main reasons: emotional volatility (inability to tolerate swings), the desire to rebalance into bonds/cash or hedges, and the need to preserve capital for imminent spending.
  • Most 529 plans offer fund choices (index funds, active funds, and target-date funds) rather than individual stocks; target-date funds let you pick a year tied to the child’s expected graduation.
  • A tranche or reverse dollar-cost-averaging approach (e.g., moving portions like 10% every six months) gradually reduces equity exposure, allowing markets to run while limiting timing risk and emotional strain.
  • There is no perfect strategy: a full, immediate shift avoids losses if the market falls, while gradual de-risking outperforms if stocks keep rising—outcome depends on market direction.
Bullish
  • Starting de-risking 5–7 years before college reduces sequence-of-returns risk.
  • Tranching (reverse DCA) eases emotional stress and smooths timing risk.
  • Target-date funds automate allocation changes and simplify 529 management.
Bearish
  • Keeping 100% in the S&P risks a large drawdown right before college spending.
  • Slow tranching can suffer if the market crashes early in the de-risking window.
  • Target-date funds may underperform if equities continue to rally (opportunity cost).
The Compound

How to Time the AI Bubble

10/28/2025, 9:24:20 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • Step-up basis: when someone dies, most assets (including homes) receive a stepped-up basis to fair market value at death, benefiting heirs; exceptions include tax-qualified retirement accounts (IRAs), annuities, and assets held in non-grantor irrevocable trusts.
  • 529 plans: most state 529 plans do not allow individual stock investments; they do allow easy annual contributions (often via a shared link) from relatives to build education savings.
  • Practical home-buying advice: advisers recommend renting in a location for 6–12 months before buying to test the community and avoid weather or lifestyle mismatches (e.g., hurricane-prone areas).
  • Short-term rental angle: using a vacation home as an Airbnb can offset costs and teach property management, implying a real-world use case for Airbnb (ABNB).
  • Online house hunting limitations: tools like Zillow (Z) are useful for initial searches but have limits in conveying local amenities and day-to-day living considerations.
Bullish
  • Vacation home enhances family experiences and can provide estate step-up basis benefits
  • Renting the property on Airbnb can generate income and teach kids responsibility
  • Make small annual 529 contributions to meaningfully support a child's education
Bearish
  • Step-up basis does not apply to retirement accounts like IRAs or annuities
  • Financial arguments for buying a vacation home often won't persuade a spouse
  • Buying sight-unseen risks climate or lifestyle regret (hurricane risk, community mismatch)
The Compound

Is the F.I.R.E. Movement Dead?

10/28/2025, 6:49:23 PM
Open summary
Economic Summary
  • The FIRE movement gained prominence during the financial crisis when unemployment was high (around 10%), prompting people to find ways to live well on far less income and pursue early retirement.
  • FIRE acted as a counter-narrative to the housing/wealth-bubble years that emphasized getting rich; some adherents did achieve success but many found early retirement unsatisfying after a short period.
  • Declining journalistic coverage and increasing criticism (e.g., accusations of lifestyle creep) reduced public attention and may have contributed to the perception that the movement faded, even as a minority still practice it.
Bullish
  • Attractive alternative during economic hardship and high unemployment.
  • Some people genuinely enjoyed early retirement and lifestyle freedom.
  • A subset achieved financial success through frugality and investing.
Bearish
  • Media attention faded, reducing visibility and cultural momentum for FIRE.
  • Many early retirees reported boredom and returned to work.
  • Improving labor markets and lower unemployment made the movement less necessary.
  • Lifestyle-creep criticism and negative portrayals undermined the movement's appeal.
The Compound

You Only Need 3 or 4 Great Ideas to Make a Million

10/28/2025, 5:44:03 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Cramer on Palantir

10/28/2025, 1:35:19 AM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Jim Cramer's Wake Up Call

10/27/2025, 11:19:13 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Future for Nvidia

10/27/2025, 10:48:23 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

There's Only One Elon

10/27/2025, 10:17:22 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Michael's Top Ten Horror Movies

10/27/2025, 9:32:59 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Jim Cramer Absolutely UNLOADS On Stage, Make Popcorn Now

10/27/2025, 9:00:34 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

WAYT? 10-28-2025

10/27/2025, 6:20:20 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Systemic Risks

10/26/2025, 6:08:01 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Broken Arrow

10/26/2025, 5:39:22 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Job Outlook for Recent Graduates

10/26/2025, 3:02:55 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

It’s Only a Bubble If You Panic | TCAF 214

10/24/2025, 1:01:02 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Don't Tell ME How to Spend Money

10/24/2025, 12:00:09 AM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

How to Spend with Morgan Housel

10/23/2025, 4:00:20 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Netflix Partners with Spotify

10/22/2025, 9:24:40 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

What is the Dave Ramsey Portfolio?

10/22/2025, 5:31:27 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Zero Dollar Club | Animal Spirits 435

10/22/2025, 1:01:56 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Stock Market Booms While No One Can Get a Job | WAYT?

10/21/2025, 10:20:03 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

A Year-End Rally Could Double The S&P 500's Gain This Year

10/20/2025, 9:00:14 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

What Could Derail Gold?

10/17/2025, 9:06:18 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Gold Bugs Were Wrong, But They Made Money

10/17/2025, 3:36:25 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Inside the Gold and Silver Mania | TCAF 213

10/17/2025, 1:01:43 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Red Flags for Young Advisors

10/17/2025, 12:36:07 AM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

We Got Spirit Yes We Do!!

10/16/2025, 8:48:08 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Allergic to Getting Rich

10/15/2025, 11:49:19 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

When Does a Bull Market Officially Begin?

10/15/2025, 11:14:53 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Is It Time to Take Some Profits?

10/15/2025, 5:55:51 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Did the Market Just Top? | Animal Spirits 434

10/15/2025, 1:02:09 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Big Short Generation

10/15/2025, 2:14:04 AM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Worst Traders in the World

10/14/2025, 11:40:55 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

Wall Street is Firing On All Cylinders | WAYT?

10/14/2025, 10:17:40 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.

The Compound

The Last Frontier of Fintech

10/14/2025, 3:57:04 PM
Open summary
Bullish

No bullish cases captured.

Bearish

No bearish cases captured.